Anyone who joined me for the special edition of the Plebian Podcast election night coverage will know I did not predict a Trump win. The data told me it was, at best, unlikely. But as we found out, the data was cooked.
Donald J. Trump is the next president of the United States, winning what I’d call an electoral college landslide against Hillary Clinton by outperforming 2012 candidate Mitt Romney among blacks and Hispanics, massacring Democrats among white blue collar workers who delivered him the rust belt states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, and vastly outperforming predictions of a gender gap (He won over 50% of white women).
We cannot understate the magnitude of this as an event. It is the biggest political upset of my lifetime, and indeed perhaps the entire post-WWII era. All but three polls hedged against it and no national media organization gave Trump even a remote chance (he was endorsed by one paper). In the waning days of the campaign, the ubiquitous Nate Silver gave Trump around a 30% chance, while Huffington post scoffed and gave him less than 5%. It was thus quite gratifying halfway through election evening to watch the live NYT model give Hillary a 5% chance of victory as the votes began to come in and Trump locked down Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio.
I want to offer my sincere congratulations to my American colleagues and to the American people in general, to both the AltRight who acted tirelessly on Trump’s behalf using the online medium, and to the lowly unemployed machinist in the Midwest who woke up the following morning to find a slayed dragon giving its concession speech. The Democrat Party is in tatters, its unenviable position in the House solidifed, its failure to take the Senate an embarrassment, and its state level presence decimated.The Young Turks were first in line for the circular firing squad, Rachel Maddow assured her viewers that it wasn’t a nightmare, Van Jones was brought to tears by the specter of a ‘whitelash‘.
We do not know yet where Donald Trump will take America on the domestic front, and people dressing speculation up as decisive prophecy at this stage are being irresponsible and grabbing for headlines, pointing to this or that to make some case for a presidency that hasn’t even begun. Yes, he hired ultimate insider RNC chair Reince Priebus as his chief of staff. Yes, he just had all the lobbyists removed from his transition team. None of this is very useful information until we see what he starts to do in office. The ‘chief strategist‘ appointment of Steve Bannon (who has acted as the con’troll’ tower for alternative info from his perch at Breitbart News) is encouraging, especially for our ends, but still not yet conclusive.
What is concrete right now is the response from the left, which has been… tactless, and that is putting it mildly. Protests which range from Defcon 3 to Defcon Chimpout are raging across major urban centers from Chicago to Portland, astroturfed by George Soros and capitalizing on college campus hysteria. Trump supporters have been viciously beaten by mobs of thugs, and apparently even voting for Trump in a school mock election is grounds for child abuse. Meanwhile, retaliatory ‘hate crimes’ are being largely debunked as hoaxes. We should expect more of this, but it works in our favor. The left is exposing itself to an ever greater extent with these kinds of antics. And yes, we know the unrest isn’t spontaneous because a lot of people showing up to protest… didn’t bother voting for Hillary in the election.
I said from the start, the major domestic consequences of Trump as a candidate, and potentially now as a president as well, are on narrative and the Overton Window. To the people who can most effectively take advantage of this will go the spoils. Slowly but surely, our message is being considered more and more by segments of the population, and this bodes well for attracting the kinds of people we need. We are definitely going to be dealing with an altered playing field in the months and years ahead, but how much of that alteration is caused by Trump, and to what extent he will influence it depends on which promises he keeps, and how he conducts himself in the Oval Office. And if the left wants to magnify what gains the American right makes at this critical time, they should definitely move forward with the plan to make a stealth Jihadist their DNC chair, and continue to viciously slander white women for voting with their men.
The bigger impact of Trump is of course on the global stage. Again I stress, we don’t know how Trump will engage in diplomacy yet, and we won’t until January. All the speculation on this point has already been covered in optimistic terms and doesn’t need rehashing a million times. However, the election as an event itself has had international implications already and we cannot ignore them.
Fresh off Trump’s victory, ostensibly ‘rightist’ parties in the Netherlands and France are declaring that they will be the next surprise victors in a worldwide wave of populism that drowns out the globalist consensus of the post-Cold War era. That remains to be seen, and we will have our first indicator early next month when Austria has a re-vote scheduled for deciding who their president will be, EU puppet Alexander Van der Bellen or the FPÖ’s Norbert Hofer. In the wake of Brexit, Duterte, and now Trump, the possibility of a wave seems high. As the Front National’s chief strategist Florian Philippot stated…
“Their world is collapsing. Ours is being built.”
The EU is certainly looking more precarious than ever, with populists emboldened and leaders holding emergency meetings on how exactly they are going to deal with a President Trump, whose first received foreign politician was none other than Nigel Farage who took the UK out of the European Union. The walls are closing in on Angela Merkel it seems, and yesterday’s news can’t have helped, as pro-Russian candidates stormed to decisive wins in the race for the presidencies of Bulgaria and Moldova. Viktor Orban of Hungary immediately began celebrating Trump’s victory with his declaration that the result was a…
“historic event, in which Western civilization appears to successfully break free from the confines of an ideology”
News of Trump’s victory went down well in Damascus, which now feels it has breathing room that would have been non-existent in the event of an incoming Clinton administration. And while Russian bombers pounded key terrorist strongholds inside the country, its nationalists were toasting champagne and President Putin was engaging the Donald in a phone conversation about restoring normalcy to relations and working for a common solution in Syria to end the bloodshed. Virtually every positive actor on the world stage welcomed the surprise result, and every despised villain was in mourning.
Here is a tougher subject. Emma Grey Ellis at left wing outlet ‘Wired‘ predicted that the AltRight would falter, fragment, and fizzle in the wake of a Trump presidency, and while it is easy to dismiss such prognostication as wishful thinking on the part of anti-racists, there is a truth here. The AltRight was in large part, in its widest scope of definition, fueled by disenfranchisement. It was fueled by a group who felt victimized, young white males, who correctly saw that their lives were being made miserable by a Progressive elite. Widespread anger, youthful rebelliousness, and some talented propagandists are what made the AltRight successful, and as much as this was a blessing for the right, populist insurgency carries a self-destructing element which is implicit in the name. With Trump in the White House, and the sheer breadth of AltRight endorsement and fanfare which he received, arguing that the work isn’t over now becomes more nuanced and harder for regular joes to understand. To a degree, everyone poured their wishes and dreams into Trump. Conservatives convinced themselves he was a conservative. Moderates convinced themselves he was a moderate. Those with stagnant wages convinced themselves that he really could bring jobs back. And to a degree, the AltRight convinced themselves that Trump was ‘The God-Emperor‘. Great propaganda as this was (and it’s what got him elected), there is a price to be paid, this being that all those intermediary and low level shitposters, meme brigades, catty commentators; they’re unlikely to stick around.
People have careers, they have lives, and to devote yourself to a political crusade is just not something of interest for the vast majority of people, unless you have a populist insurgency, but that is by its very nature predicated on being the outsider, being the underdog, fighting the establishment. Getting those people to continue at the same level of engagement when not only is their resplendent frog king in the White House, but he controls both houses of congress and has a good shot at shaping the US Supreme Court for decades to a come; that’s a tall order, and because the AltRight was more of a zeitgeist than a real movement or institution, there doesn’t seem to be the apparatus necessary for it to continue its success within that framework, especially now that corporate censors have received their marching orders to ruthlessly unplug its most well-known provocateurs (for those unaware, a mass co-ordinated purge was just carried out by Twitter, eliminating Ricky Vaughn (again), Pax Dickinson, Paul Town, Richard Spencer, Radix, and NPI). Putting things simply: the AltRight’s aptitude was in getting Trump elected. Whether it has any aptitude beyond this is dicey.
I’m not saying that the AltRight made a mistake in going all-in for Trump, just that there was a tradeoff. That doesn’t need to be a defining issue or a setback. Even if Ellis is totally correct, the slow fading of the AltRight is not damaging to the school of the radical right in any meaningful way. It’s grown the ranks of the committed, expanded networks of communication, and discredited our opponents in ways we could never have imagined… and that’s before any potential nuggets of gold contained within the Trump presidency itself! Memes and so forth will continue I’m sure, but we shouldn’t be surprised if the intensity and sheer mass of the ‘AltRight’ ebbs just as quickly as it flowed.
For the Reactionary, elections don’t change fundamentals, only superficialities and the slope of trajectories. Broadly, Occidental society continues to deteriorate, but the victory of Donald Trump serves our cause in many ways, and I argued for those during the course of the campaign. We should have both a spring in our step and a crestfallen mist in our eye, because while the everyman deservedly basks in the glow of an unexpected triumph, we know that there are still dark times ahead, just over the horizon line, times which most will not see coming, especially if a familiar complacency sets in, but times which we will be positioned to capitalize on.
The next US president, to some extent at least, is a lucky draw in the first hand, but the great gambles haven’t started yet, and the game for our future rages on, just below the surface of gloating rightists and hysterical leftists. We’re only just beginning to mine the jewel-bedecked caverns of our own interior, our history, our Traditions, and our will to survive, and this is something our enemies should fear, Trump or no Trump. That said, when the spectacle is over and this black Cathedral of soiled rags and rusted fetters crumbles to the ground, if from its ashes emerge from the fog crosses not crescents, cries of glory not death rattles, our people not their replacements… we will no doubt look back in fondness at the turbulent blonde who shocked the world in the great election of 2016.