An Official Statement on the Trump Candidacy

This won’t be too long, but it’s time I addressed these matters simply because of this issue’s unexpected longevity in both the news cycle and of course subsequently in the musings of the radical right.

The candidacy of one Donald J. Trump for the presidency of the United States has been a spectacle of policy-lurches, endless gaffes, and repetitive tirades… which have decimated the authority of the political ruling class like nothing in the history of the entire nation. A potent mix of voter frustration and hatred of the rhetoric-muzzle which has descended in this age of political correctness, along with a bombastic and highly successful personality has managed to keep ‘the Donald’ at the top of the polls well clear of the other candidates for months on end, with the Iowa caucuses rapidly approaching.

As you can imagine, the media and the Republican establishment are sweating bullets, as are many of the ‘Conservative’ blowhards like Glenn Beck and the writers of RedState. An army of self-described trolls have carried Trump forward, engaging in a devestating battle that has buried Trump’s critics and left them looking hysterically stupid.

The most recent episode was Trump’s proclomation that Muslims be prevented from immigrating to the United States during a temporary period until the vetting process was improved, in response to the San Bernardino massacre conducted by lone wolves linked to the Islamic State. The national media exploded with frothing accusations of Nazism, an on-air rant by Fox’s resident queen, solicited denunciations from Trump’s competitors, and even a British petition to have the candidate banned from entering the United Kingdom (a country with a stellar record on its handling of Islamic issues, including Jihadi John, the broad daylight decapitation in Woolwich, and the rape of thousands of schoolgirls by ‘Asian‘ grooming gangs). However, just as with every other incident before it, it doesn’t look like Trumpmentum is ebbing in the slightest. If anything, he is gaining ground with the increasingly afraid and pissed-off electorate.

a vote for Trump is a vote for zeppelins


“‘Can’t stump the Trump!” has become the popular rallying cry on Trump-friendly boards like 4Chan’s /pol/ and Twitter. Can he be stumped? Well, certainly not by other people’s attacks on him, and apparently not even by himself either. An objective analysis says he will not win the nomination, and I base this on two things:

a) I think his supporters are largely lazy. They don’t have the kind of fervor that, say, a supporter of Ted Cruz has. This is the pitfall of a populist campaign, in that while Trump certainly has many ideological supporters, much of his base are people who don’t see politics as part of their daily lives and are gravitating to Trump not because of his policies necessarily, but because of his brand and his admirable disregard for the stale conventions of American democracy. These people have trouble turning out for elections.

b) I think the party will do anything it can to prevent him from becoming the nominee, even if it means backroom tricks at the nomination convention. We have plenty of evidence from the last 7 years alone that the Republican Party will vote with the Democrats to gang up on the specter of the ‘far right’. They’re not so different from the UMP in France.

So, what’s the final verdict? Can the Reactionary truly want Trump to lose? Yes, but lose in a certain way. It is massively beneficial for us if Trump actually ends up winning a plurality of states, but is mugged at the convention and launches into a fuming tirade. The party gets split, the anointed candidate (likely Florida Senator Marco Rubio) will lose badly to Hillary Clinton, and the result is that the party is, for all intents and purposes, finished. Embittered Trump voters will have been mugged by the realities of democracy and will look elsewhere for a political outlet, joining the ranks of the dissident right. There are no democratic solutions to the crisis of the modern world. Where Trump matters is the edge of the Overton Window, not the electoral college, his rhetoric is lending an air of legitimacy to our more extreme sentiments, and you can see in various articles from the left that this is where their concern over Trump lies, not the man himself, but what he is giving rise to on the gritty underbelly of American political sentiment.

With that said, I am all for encouraging Trumpism, because I am confident it will be extinguished, although much later than the Republicans hope. Let’s get this man as close to the finish line as we can. The further he gets, the greater payoffs we stand to collect. People say that the things espoused by the former ‘Apprentice’ superstar are dividing the nation. Good. That’s exactly how we want it. 

indispensable data for destroying rancid political parties
courtesy of the Donald.
Advertisements

16 thoughts on “An Official Statement on the Trump Candidacy

  1. The GOP is looking at absolute party death, but they could limp their way to the next election. Don't underestimate the masochistic tendencies of many voters. They still identify with the party in Mississippi, even after it basically drove up black turnout and called whites racist in order to win a primary.

    If they try to dethrone Trump through underhanded tactics though, the rage that would be generated would be intense. For those who don't want America to become Mexico, there would be literally NO choice on the ballot. It would make clear the point of Modern democracy – 'you can vote… but only between candidates WE deem acceptable!'.

    Like

  2. I don't know that his supporters are lazy. They are turning out to rallies in big numbers, where people typically don't go. Now, I'm lazy, and I sure am not ever going to a political rally. So these people going tells me something. I think he's tapping into a deep, long-suppressed stream on the American right.

    Like

  3. Perhaps, but do not underestimate the power of the established elites. In the Western World, for the past 300 years, they have almost never failed to get their man. The exceptions are notable, but scarce.

    Like

  4. I think he is, but his rallies do not reflect the poll numbers he is getting (rallies never really do). A lot of Trump support is coming from casuals rather than activists, and Trump would need to actually organize a get-out-the-vote-effort to bring out that 28% of whatever he is getting in Iowa. Barack Obama's rallies were pretty damn pitiful in 2012, but he was able to turn out the vote using buses and operatives. The ground game is what the lower-tier candidates are counting on.

    Here's what I'll say, if Trump can win Iowa, he can win New Hampshire (however a loss in Iowa doesn't mean a loss in New Hampshire, he's more popular there). If Trump wins both IA, NH, and then SC, then I will definitely predict that it will take trickery to stop him. but the powers that be are not above trickery, even the dirtiest kind of trickery. We've already heard several of them say it: they would rather lose the presidency without Trump than win it with him.

    Like

  5. Mark, I'm inclined to agree with you concerning what you describe as “the pitfall of a populist campaign”, i.e. the “laziness” of the typical populist, white working class, prospective voter. I'm in my mid-forties now, but twenty odd years ago I was a card-carrying liberal Democrat who supported Bill Clinton in the 1992 presidential campaign. I remember two friends of mine at the time, who I believe fit the bill of the white working class, “populist” voter to a tee. Throughout the campaign and entirely on their own initiative, they repeatedly challenged my support for Clinton and vociferously argued in favor of President Bush (granted, President Bush was not a populist, but these friends of mine were certainly of that spirit). Their support for Bush was seemingly more fervent than my own support for Clinton. Thus I was surprised that, when Election Day came and went, neither one of them bothered actually to go to the polling station and vote. I suspect it isn't all that uncommon when it comes to the proletarian sector of the electorate–namely, vocal support with little follow-through (or all talk and no action). So I agree that Trump's support might poll well and yet not “poll” well, and that may come back to haunt him.

    Furthermore, as you know, in the Iowa caucus it is essential to have committed, diligent supporters in order to win, due to the “caucus” format. I suspect Trump isn't going to have that there, and given all the hype about Trump's impressive lead over the rest of the Republican field and the appearance of a popular wave of support, I can't help but wonder if losing Iowa–possibly badly–despite being a somewhat misleading indicator, wouldn't constitute a very damaging blow to the Trump campaign going forward. So I think your analysis is spot-on.

    In Trump's favor, he's obviously placing a bet–a sound one, in my view–that over the course of the coming year, there will be more distressing Muslim terror attacks either here or abroad that will make his public stance vis a vis immigration increasingly attractive to the broader electorate. Whether another attack will occur in time to give him a big boost in the run-up to the Iowa caucus and the other early primaries–and thus deliver him perhaps from the populist dilemma of vocal, yet uncommitted, support–remains to be seen.

    Like

  6. Trump's show is rolling out exactly as needed because this is just the manner in which the zeitgeist assimilates all identifiable threats to its “supremacy.”

    Trump is the “default elite's” lastest version of “white supremacy” and with his alt-rite appeal on the issue of migger invasion is his blunting of black on white savagery via an implicit economic alliance amongst low to middle class black and whites CONTRA alt-rite “race realism.”

    Of course, Trump always has the opportunity to get “good,” jump independent, salvage the Republican Pansies and help usher in the Hillary reign of utter mediocrity and national descent.

    Like

  7. In the past, I've often been on the fence about Trump. On the one hand, I do admire a lot of the more realistic words coming out of the mouths of other GOP contenders; on the other hand, Trump is saying what needs to be said, and isn't afraid of the damage it does, like a lot of other politicians are. While I'm not one of those in the “can't stump the Trump” party of the alt-right, I definitely feel more excited about him than any other candidate.

    That being said, I do think your article here calms things down by bringing about the reality of the American political landscape, which is that our whole idea of “democracy” and how an election should operate is a facade. Remember when they used to permit popular third party candidates to debate? Remember when the presidential debates were actual (GASP!) debates, and not glorified round table discussions? The conventions have been warped and twisted to what they are today, which is a show and a spectacle run partially by the parties themselves pushing forward “anointed candidates,” and run partially by the mass media, pushing forward accepted opinions.

    I do think that Trump losing – ESPECIALLY with a backdoor method – will cause repercussions that his fiercest critics are overlooking. This will especially be true if the GOP candidate ends up losing. At that point, American democracy is going to break in one way or another.

    Like

  8. The 'stars-align' scenario for Trump would be for the US to enter a recession very quickly (it is due one). But Iowa is likely to damage his campaign before that occurs. Much of his image is that of the heroic victor. This will be tarnished by a loss to rabid activists and well-funded busing in Iowa.

    Like

  9. Strikes me this is about right. Except that, as Paul Ryan has showed us, the Republican party died some time ago. The difference between the two parties is thismuch. The trumped up bickering between the two faces of the same being is window dressing. Oceania was always at war with Eurasia.

    Like

  10. The party may have died as an actual opposition party, but electorally, it remains a force as was seen in the last midterm. Trump could end that, essentially turning the US into a one-party state , at which point the right will lose its last democratic recourse.

    Like

  11. I wasn't clear whether you would actually like to see Trump as President or not? But I agree with you: the fix is in for Hillary. Although I can imagine the amount of drugs and meds they are going to have to pump her up with yo drag her across the finish line. The only thing the GOP leadership are concerned about is keeping the taxpayer-funded Washington gravy train rolling. They know Hillary will do that but they can't be sure about Trump. I think that is the real reason they hate him. As for playing dirty tricks on Trump – like they did with Ron Paul. The only thing is that Paul was a “gentleman” about it. Trump won't be.

    Like

  12. I have no interest in seeing anyone as president. The actual outcomes of elections became meaningless to me while ago, its the implications for the political atmosphere of the nation which have relevance. If they screw Trump, it will be very clear that the entire game is rigged by an incestuous alliance between Liberals and 'Conservatives' to continue their very lucrative status quo, but even if not, Trump has cracked the Overton Window in a big way. He is deserving of great gratitude for that. People on the right were searching for someone who could launch a critical volley at political correctness and Trump perfectly embodies that.

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s